Recent model runs and observational data from Mexico City’s high-elevation basin indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds will likely produce a minimum between 12 °C and 13 °C. Dew-point values near 12–13 °C and surface pressures around 1026 hPa support modest cooling rates, while residual moisture from recent showers limits further temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows only small spread in the 6–9 a.m. window when the daily low typically occurs, keeping 12 °C and 13 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing. Historical September climatology places the average low near 13 °C, but any increase in cloud cover or wind speed before dawn could push readings toward the lower bin, whereas clearer conditions would favor 13 °C or slightly above. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations expected later today will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
13°C 100%
11°C 93%
7°C or below 90%
14°C 48%
7°C or below
90%
8°C
9%
9°C
9%
10°C
30%
11°C
93%
12°C
-
13°C
100%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100%
11°C 93%
7°C or below 90%
14°C 48%
7°C or below
90%
8°C
9%
9°C
9%
10°C
30%
11°C
93%
12°C
-
13°C
100%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs and observational data from Mexico City’s high-elevation basin indicate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds will likely produce a minimum between 12 °C and 13 °C. Dew-point values near 12–13 °C and surface pressures around 1026 hPa support modest cooling rates, while residual moisture from recent showers limits further temperature drops. Ensemble guidance shows only small spread in the 6–9 a.m. window when the daily low typically occurs, keeping 12 °C and 13 °C outcomes nearly even in trader pricing. Historical September climatology places the average low near 13 °C, but any increase in cloud cover or wind speed before dawn could push readings toward the lower bin, whereas clearer conditions would favor 13 °C or slightly above. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations expected later today will resolve the market.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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