Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's peak temperature on September 21 near 29°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting diurnal heating. Late-September subtropical patterns typically feature highs of 28–30°C as the monsoon influence wanes, and recent observations show no incoming fronts or tropical systems to drive deviations. Model runs indicate low precipitation chances and modest humidity, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to 30°C or higher. Final official readings from local stations will resolve the market, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shifts as the main sources of remaining uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
29°C 49%
28°C 38%
27°C 7%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
$15,125 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,125 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
38%
29°C
49%
30°C
6%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 38%
27°C 7%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
$15,125 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,125 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$1,045 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$2,174 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$3,196 ปริมาณ
38%
29°C
$4,292 ปริมาณ
49%
30°C
$1,081 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$859 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$1,358 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$348 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's peak temperature on September 21 near 29°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting diurnal heating. Late-September subtropical patterns typically feature highs of 28–30°C as the monsoon influence wanes, and recent observations show no incoming fronts or tropical systems to drive deviations. Model runs indicate low precipitation chances and modest humidity, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to 30°C or higher. Final official readings from local stations will resolve the market, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shifts as the main sources of remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,125วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's peak temperature on September 21 near 29°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting diurnal heating. Late-September subtropical patterns typically feature highs of 28–30°C as the monsoon influence wanes, and recent observations show no incoming fronts or tropical systems to drive deviations. Model runs indicate low precipitation chances and modest humidity, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to 30°C or higher. Final official readings from local stations will resolve the market, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shifts as the main sources of remaining uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,125วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models positions Shanghai's peak temperature on September 21 near 29°C under stable high-pressure conditions, with northerly winds and partly cloudy skies limiting diurnal heating. Late-September subtropical patterns typically feature highs of 28–30°C as the monsoon influence wanes, and recent observations show no incoming fronts or tropical systems to drive deviations. Model runs indicate low precipitation chances and modest humidity, supporting the market's strong weighting toward 28–29°C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to 30°C or higher. Final official readings from local stations will resolve the market, with any late-day cloud cover or wind shifts as the main sources of remaining uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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