Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 20?
29°C 55%
28°C 34%
30°C 10%
27°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
34%
29°C
55%
30°C
10%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 55%
28°C 34%
30°C 10%
27°C 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
25°C or below
$136 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$16 ปริมาณ
5%
28°C
$205 ปริมาณ
34%
29°C
$385 ปริมาณ
55%
30°C
$21 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$28 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$21 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$137 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$203 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,153วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,153วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on September 20 indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with northeast winds and minimal precipitation risk, supporting daytime highs centered near 29–30°C according to consensus from models such as GFS. Persistent cloud cover and moderate onshore flow from the East China Sea are limiting solar heating and preventing stronger warming, while current conditions on September 18 show similar temperatures around 28–30°C amid light rain. These stable atmospheric patterns explain the market's emphasis on 29°C (50.5% implied probability) and 28°C (34.5%), with lower odds on 30°C reflecting uncertainty in exact peak readings amid variable cloud breaks. Official updates from monitoring agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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