**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 20?
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
69°F or below
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
18%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
45%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 45%
74-75°F 32%
72-73°F 18%
70-71°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
69°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
72-73°F
$24 ปริมาณ
18%
74-75°F
$251 ปริมาณ
32%
76-77°F
$78 ปริมาณ
45%
78-79°F
$7 ปริมาณ
8%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
88°F or higher
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling.
This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20.
Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$565วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling.
This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20.
Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$565วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions with widespread cloud cover and showers are keeping overnight lows elevated in Miami, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a minimum temperature of 76-77°F (44%) on September 20, 2026.** Recent National Weather Service and model guidance consistently project overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 70s, with several forecasts centering on 76-78°F amid scattered thunderstorms, high dew points near 75-77°F, and light variable winds that limit radiative cooling. This reflects typical late-September subtropical patterns in South Florida, where elevated moisture from the Atlantic and Gulf prevents sharp temperature drops. Consensus across sources shows no incoming cold front or drier air mass to drive readings into the low 70s or below, supporting the combined 94% probability on 72-79°F outcomes. Traders are weighting the latest model runs and official briefings that show stable warm advection and high humidity persisting through the night of September 19-20. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in evening forecast updates or observed dew point trends, which could shift probabilities if unexpected clearing allows more cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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