Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European guidance indicate a high of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and produce the current market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 65.5% and 18°C at 20.5%. Recent September observations show temperatures near or slightly above normal earlier in the month before cooler air arrived, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings to 20°C or higher. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of model guidance and historical analogs, though minor forecast revisions from additional model runs could still shift the final observed maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 21?
19°C 64%
18°C 21%
20°C 13%
21°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
21%
19°C
64%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
19°C 64%
18°C 21%
20°C 13%
21°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$231 ปริมาณ
1%
15°C
$79 ปริมาณ
1%
16°C
$234 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$311 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$1,118 ปริมาณ
21%
19°C
$1,562 ปริมาณ
64%
20°C
$683 ปริมาณ
13%
21°C
$395 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European guidance indicate a high of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and produce the current market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 65.5% and 18°C at 20.5%. Recent September observations show temperatures near or slightly above normal earlier in the month before cooler air arrived, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings to 20°C or higher. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of model guidance and historical analogs, though minor forecast revisions from additional model runs could still shift the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,882วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European guidance indicate a high of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and produce the current market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 65.5% and 18°C at 20.5%. Recent September observations show temperatures near or slightly above normal earlier in the month before cooler air arrived, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings to 20°C or higher. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of model guidance and historical analogs, though minor forecast revisions from additional model runs could still shift the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,882วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Met Office and European guidance indicate a high of 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 21 under stable high pressure, light to moderate westerly to northwesterly winds, and mostly cloudy skies that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with the climatological average high of 18.5°C for the date and produce the current market-implied probabilities, with 19°C leading at 65.5% and 18°C at 20.5%. Recent September observations show temperatures near or slightly above normal earlier in the month before cooler air arrived, with no strong warm advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected to push readings to 20°C or higher. Traders are weighting the tight cluster of model guidance and historical analogs, though minor forecast revisions from additional model runs could still shift the final observed maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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