**Forecast models for September 22 in Warsaw indicate a minimum temperature most likely between 8–12°C under northwest winds and lingering showers, with highs near 15–17°C.** Recent model runs from sources like globalmeteo, Yr.no, and others converge on overnight lows around 9–11°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate humidity, following a period of cooler, unsettled weather. This central range fuels the near-even market split between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders price in uncertainty around exact timing of clearing skies, wind shifts, or localized cooling that could push the daily minimum toward either tail. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10°C, providing context for the current setup, with updated forecasts expected from agencies like IMGW as the day approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 22?
4°C or below 84%
14°C or higher 82%
9°C 40%
10°C 38%
4°C or below
84%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
40%
10°C
38%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
15%
14°C or higher
82%
4°C or below 84%
14°C or higher 82%
9°C 40%
10°C 38%
4°C or below
84%
5°C
9%
6°C
9%
7°C
33%
8°C
27%
9°C
40%
10°C
38%
11°C
17%
12°C
38%
13°C
15%
14°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for September 22 in Warsaw indicate a minimum temperature most likely between 8–12°C under northwest winds and lingering showers, with highs near 15–17°C.** Recent model runs from sources like globalmeteo, Yr.no, and others converge on overnight lows around 9–11°C amid partly cloudy to overcast skies and moderate humidity, following a period of cooler, unsettled weather. This central range fuels the near-even market split between the 4°C-or-below and 14°C-or-higher outcomes, as traders price in uncertainty around exact timing of clearing skies, wind shifts, or localized cooling that could push the daily minimum toward either tail. Historical September minima in Warsaw average near 10°C, providing context for the current setup, with updated forecasts expected from agencies like IMGW as the day approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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