**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 22, 2026, show daytime maximum temperatures centered around 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 41.5% implied probability and 31°C at 31.5%).** Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88°F) under partly cloudy skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, typical for the peak of the rainy season. These conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and convective activity—limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 30°C less likely according to current runs. A strong El Niño event (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C in recent months) provides broader regional warming context that supports near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures for the time of year, yet short-term steering patterns and afternoon convection remain the dominant local controls. Model consensus currently favors modest variability around the 31–32°C range, with limited upside risk if skies clear more than expected or downside if heavier rain develops earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observing site. Updated model runs and any shifts in the tropical moisture plume over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could adjust the 31–32°C cluster’s combined ~73% implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Panama City on September 22?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 22?
32°C 42%
31°C 32%
30°C 18%
34°C or higher 8.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C
18%
31°C
32%
32°C
42%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
8%
32°C 42%
31°C 32%
30°C 18%
34°C or higher 8.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
24°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$35 ปริมาณ
5%
29°C
$65 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$136 ปริมาณ
18%
31°C
$251 ปริมาณ
32%
32°C
$109 ปริมาณ
42%
33°C
$119 ปริมาณ
7%
34°C or higher
$46 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 22, 2026, show daytime maximum temperatures centered around 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 41.5% implied probability and 31°C at 31.5%).**
Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88°F) under partly cloudy skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, typical for the peak of the rainy season. These conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and convective activity—limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 30°C less likely according to current runs.
A strong El Niño event (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C in recent months) provides broader regional warming context that supports near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures for the time of year, yet short-term steering patterns and afternoon convection remain the dominant local controls. Model consensus currently favors modest variability around the 31–32°C range, with limited upside risk if skies clear more than expected or downside if heavier rain develops earlier.
Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observing site. Updated model runs and any shifts in the tropical moisture plume over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could adjust the 31–32°C cluster’s combined ~73% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$832วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 22, 2026, show daytime maximum temperatures centered around 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 41.5% implied probability and 31°C at 31.5%).**
Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88°F) under partly cloudy skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, typical for the peak of the rainy season. These conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and convective activity—limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 30°C less likely according to current runs.
A strong El Niño event (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C in recent months) provides broader regional warming context that supports near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures for the time of year, yet short-term steering patterns and afternoon convection remain the dominant local controls. Model consensus currently favors modest variability around the 31–32°C range, with limited upside risk if skies clear more than expected or downside if heavier rain develops earlier.
Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observing site. Updated model runs and any shifts in the tropical moisture plume over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could adjust the 31–32°C cluster’s combined ~73% implied probability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$832วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, on September 22, 2026, show daytime maximum temperatures centered around 31–32°C, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes (32°C at 41.5% implied probability and 31°C at 31.5%).** Official and model guidance from sources such as WeatherBug and The Weather Network indicate highs near 31–32°C (roughly 88°F) under partly cloudy skies with a high probability of showers or thunderstorms, typical for the peak of the rainy season. These conditions—persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and convective activity—limit solar heating and cap daytime peaks, keeping extremes above 33°C or below 30°C less likely according to current runs. A strong El Niño event (Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +2.5°C in recent months) provides broader regional warming context that supports near-normal to slightly above-normal temperatures for the time of year, yet short-term steering patterns and afternoon convection remain the dominant local controls. Model consensus currently favors modest variability around the 31–32°C range, with limited upside risk if skies clear more than expected or downside if heavier rain develops earlier. Traders are weighting these near-term forecast details heavily, as resolution depends on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary observing site. Updated model runs and any shifts in the tropical moisture plume over the next 48 hours represent the main catalysts that could adjust the 31–32°C cluster’s combined ~73% implied probability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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