**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 98°F for Austin on September 22, driven by persistent upper-level ridging that promotes strong daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon convection possible.** Light northeast winds around 5 mph and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s support efficient surface warming while limiting mixing that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Recent days have featured similar unseasonable heat in the upper 90s to low 100s, well above the late-September climatological average of about 90°F. Slight differences among model runs in afternoon cloud cover and timing of any moisture return create the narrow spread between 96–97°F and 98–99°F outcomes, with NWS explicitly forecasting 98°F and heat indices near 103°F. Final resolution depends on the precise peak observation at official stations before any late-day storms develop.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 22?
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 10%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 40%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 14%
94-95°F 10%
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
40%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...**Forecast models and National Weather Service guidance indicate a high near 98°F for Austin on September 22, driven by persistent upper-level ridging that promotes strong daytime heating under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with only isolated afternoon convection possible.** Light northeast winds around 5 mph and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s support efficient surface warming while limiting mixing that could otherwise moderate temperatures. Recent days have featured similar unseasonable heat in the upper 90s to low 100s, well above the late-September climatological average of about 90°F. Slight differences among model runs in afternoon cloud cover and timing of any moisture return create the narrow spread between 96–97°F and 98–99°F outcomes, with NWS explicitly forecasting 98°F and heat indices near 103°F. Final resolution depends on the precise peak observation at official stations before any late-day storms develop.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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