Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 17–18°C in Munich on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, northwesterly flow, and scattered showers, driving the market's strong weighting toward these outcomes. This setup reflects advection of cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, suppressing daytime heating below the long-term September average high near 19°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak values, with winds of 5–8 m/s and high cloud cover further capping temperatures. Historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns in mid-to-late September rarely exceed 19°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer thresholds. Updated guidance through the evening of September 20 will provide final confirmation ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 21?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 21?
17°C 45%
18°C 32%
16°C 18%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
3%
16°C
18%
17°C
45%
18°C
32%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
18°C 32%
16°C 18%
19°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$272 ปริมาณ
3%
16°C
$2,108 ปริมาณ
18%
17°C
$1,099 ปริมาณ
45%
18°C
$866 ปริมาณ
32%
19°C
$329 ปริมาณ
7%
20°C
$117 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$111 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$254 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$653 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$892 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 17–18°C in Munich on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, northwesterly flow, and scattered showers, driving the market's strong weighting toward these outcomes. This setup reflects advection of cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, suppressing daytime heating below the long-term September average high near 19°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak values, with winds of 5–8 m/s and high cloud cover further capping temperatures. Historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns in mid-to-late September rarely exceed 19°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer thresholds. Updated guidance through the evening of September 20 will provide final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,701วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 17–18°C in Munich on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, northwesterly flow, and scattered showers, driving the market's strong weighting toward these outcomes. This setup reflects advection of cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, suppressing daytime heating below the long-term September average high near 19°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak values, with winds of 5–8 m/s and high cloud cover further capping temperatures. Historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns in mid-to-late September rarely exceed 19°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer thresholds. Updated guidance through the evening of September 20 will provide final confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,701วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum of 17–18°C in Munich on September 21 under mostly cloudy skies, northwesterly flow, and scattered showers, driving the market's strong weighting toward these outcomes. This setup reflects advection of cooler maritime air behind a frontal passage, suppressing daytime heating below the long-term September average high near 19°C. Model consensus shows limited variability in peak values, with winds of 5–8 m/s and high cloud cover further capping temperatures. Historical analogs for similar synoptic patterns in mid-to-late September rarely exceed 19°C, supporting the low probabilities assigned to warmer thresholds. Updated guidance through the evening of September 20 will provide final confirmation ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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