Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, with westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature in Munich on September 20 of 23–25 °C. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 24 °C (43 % implied probability) versus 23 °C (35 %) reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon values, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind gusts near 10 km/h, and any residual low-level moisture that could cap insolation. With resolution hinging on official station readings, the narrow odds gap underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 48-hour period before the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 20?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 20?
24°C 45%
23°C 38%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
8%
23°C
38%
24°C
45%
25°C
14%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 45%
23°C 38%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$21 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$121 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$452 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$557 ปริมาณ
38%
24°C
$3,243 ปริมาณ
45%
25°C
$364 ปริมาณ
14%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, with westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature in Munich on September 20 of 23–25 °C. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 24 °C (43 % implied probability) versus 23 °C (35 %) reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon values, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind gusts near 10 km/h, and any residual low-level moisture that could cap insolation. With resolution hinging on official station readings, the narrow odds gap underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 48-hour period before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,791วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, with westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature in Munich on September 20 of 23–25 °C. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 24 °C (43 % implied probability) versus 23 °C (35 %) reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon values, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind gusts near 10 km/h, and any residual low-level moisture that could cap insolation. With resolution hinging on official station readings, the narrow odds gap underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 48-hour period before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,791วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, with westerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting a maximum temperature in Munich on September 20 of 23–25 °C. This places the day several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 19.1 °C. Trader consensus clustering on 24 °C (43 % implied probability) versus 23 °C (35 %) reflects minor model spread in peak afternoon values, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind gusts near 10 km/h, and any residual low-level moisture that could cap insolation. With resolution hinging on official station readings, the narrow odds gap underscores genuine forecast uncertainty in the final 48-hour period before the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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