**Forecast models show a tight cluster around 22–24°C as the likely daily maximum for Milan on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** Recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicate mostly cloudy skies with only modest clearing potential, keeping peak temperatures below seasonal norms near 24–25°C while preventing sharp cooling. Differentiating outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud timing and any late-day breaks in overcast conditions, which could push the high to 24°C or hold it at 22–23°C depending on exact insolation. Official resolution relies on verified observations from stations such as Milano Linate, with model consensus currently supporting the market’s leading 23°C and 24°C probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 18?
23°C 37%
24°C 29%
22°C 19%
25°C or higher 10%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C
29%
25°C or higher
10%
23°C 37%
24°C 29%
22°C 19%
25°C or higher 10%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
19%
23°C
37%
24°C
29%
25°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show a tight cluster around 22–24°C as the likely daily maximum for Milan on September 18, driven by persistent cloud cover, light easterly flow, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating.** Recent GFS and ECMWF runs indicate mostly cloudy skies with only modest clearing potential, keeping peak temperatures below seasonal norms near 24–25°C while preventing sharp cooling. Differentiating outcomes hinge on small variations in cloud timing and any late-day breaks in overcast conditions, which could push the high to 24°C or hold it at 22–23°C depending on exact insolation. Official resolution relies on verified observations from stations such as Milano Linate, with model consensus currently supporting the market’s leading 23°C and 24°C probabilities amid typical short-range forecast uncertainty.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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