Persistent marine layer and moderate westerly onshore flow are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, with official forecasts centering a high near 63°F amid extensive low stratus and sea breezes of 7–12 mph. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 62–67°F market bins, as modest variations in afternoon clearing, exact wind speed, or station-specific measurement (downtown versus SFO) can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Recent NWS discussions note a stable ~1,500-foot-deep layer with no strong offshore gradient to erode it, keeping readings well below the 70.7°F September 20 climatological average. Trader consensus in the 64–65°F and 66–67°F outcomes aggregates real-time model consensus and live observations while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 19%
70-71°F 10%
ใหม่
$17,132 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,132 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
38%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 38%
66-67°F 30%
62-63°F 19%
70-71°F 10%
ใหม่
$17,132 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,132 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
$731 ปริมาณ
1%
60-61°F
$548 ปริมาณ
4%
62-63°F
$2,538 ปริมาณ
19%
64-65°F
$3,684 ปริมาณ
38%
66-67°F
$1,810 ปริมาณ
30%
68-69°F
$1,768 ปริมาณ
10%
70-71°F
$1,526 ปริมาณ
10%
72-73°F
$2,059 ปริมาณ
2%
74-75°F
$2,241 ปริมาณ
1%
76-77°F
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
78°F or higher
$121 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate westerly onshore flow are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, with official forecasts centering a high near 63°F amid extensive low stratus and sea breezes of 7–12 mph. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 62–67°F market bins, as modest variations in afternoon clearing, exact wind speed, or station-specific measurement (downtown versus SFO) can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Recent NWS discussions note a stable ~1,500-foot-deep layer with no strong offshore gradient to erode it, keeping readings well below the 70.7°F September 20 climatological average. Trader consensus in the 64–65°F and 66–67°F outcomes aggregates real-time model consensus and live observations while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,132วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer and moderate westerly onshore flow are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, with official forecasts centering a high near 63°F amid extensive low stratus and sea breezes of 7–12 mph. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 62–67°F market bins, as modest variations in afternoon clearing, exact wind speed, or station-specific measurement (downtown versus SFO) can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Recent NWS discussions note a stable ~1,500-foot-deep layer with no strong offshore gradient to erode it, keeping readings well below the 70.7°F September 20 climatological average. Trader consensus in the 64–65°F and 66–67°F outcomes aggregates real-time model consensus and live observations while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing before sunset.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,132วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer and moderate westerly onshore flow are capping daytime heating in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, with official forecasts centering a high near 63°F amid extensive low stratus and sea breezes of 7–12 mph. These conditions differentiate the tightly bunched 62–67°F market bins, as modest variations in afternoon clearing, exact wind speed, or station-specific measurement (downtown versus SFO) can shift the daily maximum by a degree or two. Recent NWS discussions note a stable ~1,500-foot-deep layer with no strong offshore gradient to erode it, keeping readings well below the 70.7°F September 20 climatological average. Trader consensus in the 64–65°F and 66–67°F outcomes aggregates real-time model consensus and live observations while acknowledging residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing before sunset.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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