National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and highs near 96°F in Houston on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 44% implied probability. A weakening heat dome continues to support upper-90s readings amid moderate southeast winds and humidity levels that push heat indices above 100°F, while limited afternoon moisture keeps thunderstorm chances low. Recent climatological context shows September averages in the low 90s, so the current pattern favors the upper end of typical late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the consensus mid-90s outlook heavily, with smaller probabilities on adjacent bins reflecting minor model spread and the potential for small forecast revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Houston on September 22?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 22?
96-97°F 44%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 18%
100-101°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
5%
88-89°F
6%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
44%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
18%
102-103°F
10%
104-105°F
5%
106°F or higher
5%
96-97°F 44%
94-95°F 36%
92-93°F 18%
100-101°F 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
87°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
92-93°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
94-95°F
$3 ปริมาณ
36%
96-97°F
$10 ปริมาณ
44%
98-99°F
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
100-101°F
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
104-105°F
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
106°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and highs near 96°F in Houston on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 44% implied probability. A weakening heat dome continues to support upper-90s readings amid moderate southeast winds and humidity levels that push heat indices above 100°F, while limited afternoon moisture keeps thunderstorm chances low. Recent climatological context shows September averages in the low 90s, so the current pattern favors the upper end of typical late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the consensus mid-90s outlook heavily, with smaller probabilities on adjacent bins reflecting minor model spread and the potential for small forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and highs near 96°F in Houston on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 44% implied probability. A weakening heat dome continues to support upper-90s readings amid moderate southeast winds and humidity levels that push heat indices above 100°F, while limited afternoon moisture keeps thunderstorm chances low. Recent climatological context shows September averages in the low 90s, so the current pattern favors the upper end of typical late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the consensus mid-90s outlook heavily, with smaller probabilities on adjacent bins reflecting minor model spread and the potential for small forecast revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting model guidance point to sunny skies and highs near 96°F in Houston on September 22, aligning with the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 44% implied probability. A weakening heat dome continues to support upper-90s readings amid moderate southeast winds and humidity levels that push heat indices above 100°F, while limited afternoon moisture keeps thunderstorm chances low. Recent climatological context shows September averages in the low 90s, so the current pattern favors the upper end of typical late-summer warmth. Traders appear to weigh the consensus mid-90s outlook heavily, with smaller probabilities on adjacent bins reflecting minor model spread and the potential for small forecast revisions before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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