Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show stable high pressure and clear skies over Madrid through September 21, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–33°C under light southerly winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 48.5% and 32°C at 32.5%, reflecting trader assessment of consistent model consensus and recent warming trend from 28°C on September 19. Above-normal conditions stem from a persistent anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, with minimal model disagreement on intensification or steering. AEMET updates and final observational data from official stations will determine resolution, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond the narrow 31–34°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 21?
33°C 55%
32°C 34%
34°C 8%
31°C 3%
ใหม่
$12,640 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,640 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
34%
33°C
55%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
32°C 34%
34°C 8%
31°C 3%
ใหม่
$12,640 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,640 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
26°C or below
$660 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$300 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$403 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C
$261 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$914 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$4,421 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$3,763 ปริมาณ
55%
34°C
$1,493 ปริมาณ
8%
35°C
$156 ปริมาณ
2%
36°C or higher
$133 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show stable high pressure and clear skies over Madrid through September 21, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–33°C under light southerly winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 48.5% and 32°C at 32.5%, reflecting trader assessment of consistent model consensus and recent warming trend from 28°C on September 19. Above-normal conditions stem from a persistent anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, with minimal model disagreement on intensification or steering. AEMET updates and final observational data from official stations will determine resolution, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond the narrow 31–34°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,640วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show stable high pressure and clear skies over Madrid through September 21, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–33°C under light southerly winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 48.5% and 32°C at 32.5%, reflecting trader assessment of consistent model consensus and recent warming trend from 28°C on September 19. Above-normal conditions stem from a persistent anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, with minimal model disagreement on intensification or steering. AEMET updates and final observational data from official stations will determine resolution, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond the narrow 31–34°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,640วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including GFS and ECMWF show stable high pressure and clear skies over Madrid through September 21, supporting maximum temperatures of 32–33°C under light southerly winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 33°C at 48.5% and 32°C at 32.5%, reflecting trader assessment of consistent model consensus and recent warming trend from 28°C on September 19. Above-normal conditions stem from a persistent anticyclone suppressing cloud cover and precipitation, with minimal model disagreement on intensification or steering. AEMET updates and final observational data from official stations will determine resolution, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of deviation beyond the narrow 31–34°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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