Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City on September 21 indicates daytime highs near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered drizzle, consistent with the wet-season pattern of afternoon convection at 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment splitting between 26–27°C+ outcomes reflects model uncertainty over whether reduced cloud cover will allow stronger solar heating during peak insolation hours or if lingering moisture and northerly flow will cap temperatures through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced net radiation. Historical September maxima average around 22–24°C, with brief clear periods occasionally pushing readings 2–3°C higher before showers develop. Updated model runs and observational trends through the afternoon will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 21?
26°C 51%
27°C or higher 45%
25°C 6%
24°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
51%
27°C or higher
45%
26°C 51%
27°C or higher 45%
25°C 6%
24°C 2%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$16 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$31 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$266 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$183 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$545 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$350 ปริมาณ
51%
27°C or higher
$1,558 ปริมาณ
45%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City on September 21 indicates daytime highs near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered drizzle, consistent with the wet-season pattern of afternoon convection at 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment splitting between 26–27°C+ outcomes reflects model uncertainty over whether reduced cloud cover will allow stronger solar heating during peak insolation hours or if lingering moisture and northerly flow will cap temperatures through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced net radiation. Historical September maxima average around 22–24°C, with brief clear periods occasionally pushing readings 2–3°C higher before showers develop. Updated model runs and observational trends through the afternoon will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,093วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City on September 21 indicates daytime highs near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered drizzle, consistent with the wet-season pattern of afternoon convection at 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment splitting between 26–27°C+ outcomes reflects model uncertainty over whether reduced cloud cover will allow stronger solar heating during peak insolation hours or if lingering moisture and northerly flow will cap temperatures through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced net radiation. Historical September maxima average around 22–24°C, with brief clear periods occasionally pushing readings 2–3°C higher before showers develop. Updated model runs and observational trends through the afternoon will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,093วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 8:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City on September 21 indicates daytime highs near 23–25°C under mostly cloudy skies and scattered drizzle, consistent with the wet-season pattern of afternoon convection at 2,240 m elevation. Trader sentiment splitting between 26–27°C+ outcomes reflects model uncertainty over whether reduced cloud cover will allow stronger solar heating during peak insolation hours or if lingering moisture and northerly flow will cap temperatures through enhanced evaporative cooling and reduced net radiation. Historical September maxima average around 22–24°C, with brief clear periods occasionally pushing readings 2–3°C higher before showers develop. Updated model runs and observational trends through the afternoon will likely resolve the narrow spread between the two leading market-implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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