Recent IMD block-level forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 35°C on September 20, 2026, amid the southwest monsoon withdrawal and lingering moisture. Numerical models, however, incorporate partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm chances that limit peak heating, positioning 34°C as the modal outcome at 51% implied probability followed by 33°C. These values align with observed September baselines near 32–34°C and current humidity levels above 70% that enhance evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and recent station trends over single deterministic runs, with minimal probability assigned to 36°C or higher given the stable steering patterns and lack of clear-sky intensification signals ahead of tomorrow’s official readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 20?
34°C 51%
33°C 27%
35°C 15%
32°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
51%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 51%
33°C 27%
35°C 15%
32°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
51%
35°C
15%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent IMD block-level forecasts for Lucknow stations project a maximum of 35°C on September 20, 2026, amid the southwest monsoon withdrawal and lingering moisture. Numerical models, however, incorporate partly cloudy skies and scattered thunderstorm chances that limit peak heating, positioning 34°C as the modal outcome at 51% implied probability followed by 33°C. These values align with observed September baselines near 32–34°C and current humidity levels above 70% that enhance evaporative cooling. Traders appear to weight ensemble guidance and recent station trends over single deterministic runs, with minimal probability assigned to 36°C or higher given the stable steering patterns and lack of clear-sky intensification signals ahead of tomorrow’s official readings.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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