Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 21 maximum near 26–29 °C, with the tightest clustering around 27–28 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60 % chance of light rain or thunderstorms. Northerly flow and elevated humidity are expected to limit insolation and convective mixing, while any timing or intensity shifts in the rain could add or subtract 1–2 °C from the peak. Historical September highs average near 26 °C, so the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (26 °C at 23 %, 28 °C at 21 %, 27 °C at 15.5 %) mirrors remaining model disagreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing ahead of the next update cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
25°C 27%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
27°C 16%
24°C or below
12%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
25°C 27%
26°C 25%
28°C 20%
27°C 16%
24°C or below
12%
25°C
27%
26°C
27%
27°C
16%
28°C
20%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models place Wuhan's September 21 maximum near 26–29 °C, with the tightest clustering around 27–28 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies and a 40–60 % chance of light rain or thunderstorms. Northerly flow and elevated humidity are expected to limit insolation and convective mixing, while any timing or intensity shifts in the rain could add or subtract 1–2 °C from the peak. Historical September highs average near 26 °C, so the narrow spread among leading market outcomes (26 °C at 23 %, 28 °C at 21 %, 27 °C at 15.5 %) mirrors remaining model disagreement on cloud cover and precipitation timing ahead of the next update cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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