Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles point to a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21 near 22–23°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely in the middle of the distribution, yet the near-even split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact precipitation timing, and possible late adjustments to steering patterns two days before the event. Historical September minima in the region average around 20–21°C under similar synoptic setups, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind could push readings outside the central cluster. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21?
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
100%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
98%
18°C or below 100%
28°C or higher 98%
21°C 40%
22°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
100%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
28°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles point to a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21 near 22–23°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely in the middle of the distribution, yet the near-even split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact precipitation timing, and possible late adjustments to steering patterns two days before the event. Historical September minima in the region average around 20–21°C under similar synoptic setups, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind could push readings outside the central cluster. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles point to a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21 near 22–23°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely in the middle of the distribution, yet the near-even split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact precipitation timing, and possible late adjustments to steering patterns two days before the event. Historical September minima in the region average around 20–21°C under similar synoptic setups, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind could push readings outside the central cluster. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the National Weather Service equivalents and European ensembles point to a lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 21 near 22–23°C, driven by moderate northeasterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This places the outcome squarely in the middle of the distribution, yet the near-even split between the 18°C-or-below and 28°C-or-higher bins reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact precipitation timing, and possible late adjustments to steering patterns two days before the event. Historical September minima in the region average around 20–21°C under similar synoptic setups, underscoring how small shifts in humidity or wind could push readings outside the central cluster. Traders are monitoring the next ECMWF and GFS runs for refinements ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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