Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 20?
28°C or higher 90%
18°C or below 89%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
18°C or below
89%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
90%
28°C or higher 90%
18°C or below 89%
24°C 39%
25°C 39%
18°C or below
89%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
25%
23°C
22%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's September 20 minimum near 23–24 °C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. Subtropical humidity and residual summer warmth limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while the absence of a strong cold-air intrusion or clear-sky conditions keeps the floor well above 18 °C. At the same time, daytime maxima near 29–30 °C and lingering moisture make a 28 °C-or-higher low unlikely. The near-even split between the two leading contracts reflects residual model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing rather than any fundamental shift in the synoptic pattern. Updated runs from the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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