**Trader consensus centers on a 64-65°F low for Chicago on September 20, with 44% implied probability, followed by 62-63°F at 23.5%.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and breezy northeast winds off Lake Michigan are keeping overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, while recent heavy rainfall has maintained elevated dew points near 60-66°F. National Weather Service point forecasts and model guidance indicate a minimum in the upper 50s to low 60s under these conditions, consistent with historical September averages around 57°F but tempered by the current moist, stable air mass. Upcoming evening observations and any clearing trends could shift the final recorded low, particularly if winds ease or skies partially clear before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chicago on September 20?
64-65°F 44%
60-61°F 40%
62-63°F 40%
66-67°F 18%
53°F or below
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
7%
72°F or higher
2%
64-65°F 44%
60-61°F 40%
62-63°F 40%
66-67°F 18%
53°F or below
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
24%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
7%
72°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 64-65°F low for Chicago on September 20, with 44% implied probability, followed by 62-63°F at 23.5%.** Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and breezy northeast winds off Lake Michigan are keeping overnight temperatures from dropping sharply, while recent heavy rainfall has maintained elevated dew points near 60-66°F. National Weather Service point forecasts and model guidance indicate a minimum in the upper 50s to low 60s under these conditions, consistent with historical September averages around 57°F but tempered by the current moist, stable air mass. Upcoming evening observations and any clearing trends could shift the final recorded low, particularly if winds ease or skies partially clear before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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