**Trader consensus on the Paris high temperature market clusters tightly around 23–24°C due to converging but slightly divergent forecast model outputs for September 20, 2026.** Current conditions feature a stable high-pressure ridge (around 1024 hPa) with mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as Météo-France analogs and GFS-derived products shows afternoon peaks ranging from 22–25°C, with several runs settling near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Minor differences arise from variations in cloud optical thickness affecting insolation, subtle steering flow influences on boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any partial clearing. Historical September climatology for Paris centers near 20–22°C, so the current mild anomaly supports the market’s elevated probabilities for the upper end of that range, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from reference stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 20?
24°C 38%
23°C 35%
22°C 20%
25°C 14%
$38,184 ปริมาณ
$38,184 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
20%
23°C
35%
24°C
38%
25°C
14%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 35%
22°C 20%
25°C 14%
$38,184 ปริมาณ
$38,184 ปริมาณ
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
20%
23°C
35%
24°C
38%
25°C
14%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Paris high temperature market clusters tightly around 23–24°C due to converging but slightly divergent forecast model outputs for September 20, 2026.** Current conditions feature a stable high-pressure ridge (around 1024 hPa) with mostly cloudy to overcast skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds of 5–10 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as Météo-France analogs and GFS-derived products shows afternoon peaks ranging from 22–25°C, with several runs settling near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F). Minor differences arise from variations in cloud optical thickness affecting insolation, subtle steering flow influences on boundary-layer mixing, and the precise timing of any partial clearing. Historical September climatology for Paris centers near 20–22°C, so the current mild anomaly supports the market’s elevated probabilities for the upper end of that range, with resolution hinging on the official daily maximum from reference stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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