Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from an active monsoon trough are keeping Chongqing's diurnal temperature range narrow, with forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converging on an overnight low near 20–22°C for September 22. High humidity near 90% and light winds limit radiational cooling, while the city's basin topography traps moisture and moderates extremes compared to surrounding highlands. This setup supports market-implied odds clustering around 20–21°C, yet the near-even probabilities for 26°C+ versus 16°C or below reflect residual spread across ensemble members and potential for localized variations in official station readings. Fresh model runs and surface observations tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 22?
26°C or higher 87%
16°C or below 86%
21°C 48%
20°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
86%
17°C
38%
18°C
38%
19°C
38%
20°C
28%
21°C
39%
22°C
40%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C or higher
87%
26°C or higher 87%
16°C or below 86%
21°C 48%
20°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
86%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
28%
21°C
$15 ปริมาณ
39%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from an active monsoon trough are keeping Chongqing's diurnal temperature range narrow, with forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converging on an overnight low near 20–22°C for September 22. High humidity near 90% and light winds limit radiational cooling, while the city's basin topography traps moisture and moderates extremes compared to surrounding highlands. This setup supports market-implied odds clustering around 20–21°C, yet the near-even probabilities for 26°C+ versus 16°C or below reflect residual spread across ensemble members and potential for localized variations in official station readings. Fresh model runs and surface observations tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from an active monsoon trough are keeping Chongqing's diurnal temperature range narrow, with forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converging on an overnight low near 20–22°C for September 22. High humidity near 90% and light winds limit radiational cooling, while the city's basin topography traps moisture and moderates extremes compared to surrounding highlands. This setup supports market-implied odds clustering around 20–21°C, yet the near-even probabilities for 26°C+ versus 16°C or below reflect residual spread across ensemble members and potential for localized variations in official station readings. Fresh model runs and surface observations tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain from an active monsoon trough are keeping Chongqing's diurnal temperature range narrow, with forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converging on an overnight low near 20–22°C for September 22. High humidity near 90% and light winds limit radiational cooling, while the city's basin topography traps moisture and moderates extremes compared to surrounding highlands. This setup supports market-implied odds clustering around 20–21°C, yet the near-even probabilities for 26°C+ versus 16°C or below reflect residual spread across ensemble members and potential for localized variations in official station readings. Fresh model runs and surface observations tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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