Incoming cold front and widespread thunderstorms forecast for September 22 are the main drivers of trader positioning, with models indicating a shift to southerly winds, heavy cloud cover, and rain that will suppress overnight radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs points to a low near 13–15°C, yet timing differences in frontal passage and precipitation intensity create spread across ensembles, supporting the near-even split between the 24°C-or-higher bin and the 14°C-or-below bin. Historical September lows average 12–14°C, so any delay in the front or reduced rainfall could push the minimum higher and favor warmer outcomes, while stronger cooling under clear breaks would favor the lower side. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 22?
14°C or below 94%
24°C or higher 93%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
94%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
40%
19°C
22%
20°C
4%
21°C
17%
22°C
17%
23°C
17%
24°C or higher
93%
14°C or below 94%
24°C or higher 93%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
94%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
17°C
$3 ปริมาณ
22%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$15 ปริมาณ
4%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
24°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold front and widespread thunderstorms forecast for September 22 are the main drivers of trader positioning, with models indicating a shift to southerly winds, heavy cloud cover, and rain that will suppress overnight radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs points to a low near 13–15°C, yet timing differences in frontal passage and precipitation intensity create spread across ensembles, supporting the near-even split between the 24°C-or-higher bin and the 14°C-or-below bin. Historical September lows average 12–14°C, so any delay in the front or reduced rainfall could push the minimum higher and favor warmer outcomes, while stronger cooling under clear breaks would favor the lower side. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Incoming cold front and widespread thunderstorms forecast for September 22 are the main drivers of trader positioning, with models indicating a shift to southerly winds, heavy cloud cover, and rain that will suppress overnight radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs points to a low near 13–15°C, yet timing differences in frontal passage and precipitation intensity create spread across ensembles, supporting the near-even split between the 24°C-or-higher bin and the 14°C-or-below bin. Historical September lows average 12–14°C, so any delay in the front or reduced rainfall could push the minimum higher and favor warmer outcomes, while stronger cooling under clear breaks would favor the lower side. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Incoming cold front and widespread thunderstorms forecast for September 22 are the main drivers of trader positioning, with models indicating a shift to southerly winds, heavy cloud cover, and rain that will suppress overnight radiative cooling while limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and GFS runs points to a low near 13–15°C, yet timing differences in frontal passage and precipitation intensity create spread across ensembles, supporting the near-even split between the 24°C-or-higher bin and the 14°C-or-below bin. Historical September lows average 12–14°C, so any delay in the front or reduced rainfall could push the minimum higher and favor warmer outcomes, while stronger cooling under clear breaks would favor the lower side. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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