Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 22?
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 17%
23°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
6%
26°C
29%
27°C
51%
28°C
17%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 51%
26°C 29%
28°C 17%
23°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$60 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$80 ปริมาณ
6%
26°C
$353 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$478 ปริมาณ
51%
28°C
$740 ปริมาณ
17%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$190 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C or higher
$40 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,981วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,981วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and international models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C for September 22, driven by easterly winds under a subtropical ridge, high humidity near 80–90%, and partly cloudy conditions with isolated showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. This setup aligns with late-September climatology, where typical lows hover around 25–27°C amid stable steering patterns and no strong frontal systems. Recent model runs show consistent overnight readings in this narrow band, with minor variations tied to cloud cover timing. Trader consensus, reflected in the 52% implied probability for 27°C and 28.5% for 26°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric conditions while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from potential localized rain or wind shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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