Persistent high-pressure conditions over southern China have maintained warm, stable overnight temperatures in Hong Kong, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models consistently projecting a minimum of 27°C for September 20 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late September, when urban heat retention and high humidity typically limit radiative cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong model consensus and real-time observations showing no significant frontal passages or convective cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecasted localized heavy showers or thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling below the expected threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such events before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$27,270 ปริมาณ
$27,270 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
26°C <1%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$27,270 ปริมาณ
$27,270 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
22°C or below
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,123 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$6,906 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$11,741 ปริมาณ
100%
28°C
$6,108 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$41 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,154 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure conditions over southern China have maintained warm, stable overnight temperatures in Hong Kong, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models consistently projecting a minimum of 27°C for September 20 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late September, when urban heat retention and high humidity typically limit radiative cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong model consensus and real-time observations showing no significant frontal passages or convective cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecasted localized heavy showers or thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling below the expected threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such events before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,270วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent high-pressure conditions over southern China have maintained warm, stable overnight temperatures in Hong Kong, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models consistently projecting a minimum of 27°C for September 20 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late September, when urban heat retention and high humidity typically limit radiative cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong model consensus and real-time observations showing no significant frontal passages or convective cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecasted localized heavy showers or thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling below the expected threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such events before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,270วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure conditions over southern China have maintained warm, stable overnight temperatures in Hong Kong, with official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and numerical weather models consistently projecting a minimum of 27°C for September 20 under mostly clear skies and light easterly winds. This aligns with climatological norms for late September, when urban heat retention and high humidity typically limit radiative cooling. The overwhelming market-implied probability for 27°C reflects this strong model consensus and real-time observations showing no significant frontal passages or convective cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from unforecasted localized heavy showers or thunderstorms that enhance evaporative cooling below the expected threshold, though current guidance indicates low probability of such events before dawn.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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