Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a high of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 21 amid persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds exceeding 20 km/h. Extensive cloud cover and precipitation sharply reduce incoming solar radiation while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit surface heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though slight variations in storm timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders price 25°C and 26°C as the top outcomes due to this consensus, with 27°C reflecting residual uncertainty in localized clearing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 21?
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C 24%
24°C 12%
ใหม่
$10,131 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,131 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
12%
25°C
28%
26°C
34%
27°C
24%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 34%
25°C 28%
27°C 24%
24°C 12%
ใหม่
$10,131 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,131 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
20°C or below
$111 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$424 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$357 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$1,671 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$2,256 ปริมาณ
12%
25°C
$1,135 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$1,837 ปริมาณ
34%
27°C
$1,202 ปริมาณ
24%
28°C
$382 ปริมาณ
4%
29°C
$241 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C or higher
$542 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a high of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 21 amid persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds exceeding 20 km/h. Extensive cloud cover and precipitation sharply reduce incoming solar radiation while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit surface heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though slight variations in storm timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders price 25°C and 26°C as the top outcomes due to this consensus, with 27°C reflecting residual uncertainty in localized clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,131วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a high of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 21 amid persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds exceeding 20 km/h. Extensive cloud cover and precipitation sharply reduce incoming solar radiation while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit surface heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though slight variations in storm timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders price 25°C and 26°C as the top outcomes due to this consensus, with 27°C reflecting residual uncertainty in localized clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,131วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate a high of 25–26°C in Tokyo on September 21 amid persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and northeasterly winds exceeding 20 km/h. Extensive cloud cover and precipitation sharply reduce incoming solar radiation while high humidity and evaporative cooling from rainfall limit surface heating, keeping temperatures below seasonal norms. Recent model runs show tight clustering around these values with minimal spread, though slight variations in storm timing or wind strength could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders price 25°C and 26°C as the top outcomes due to this consensus, with 27°C reflecting residual uncertainty in localized clearing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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