Recent Met Office and complementary model guidance position a 23°C high as the leading outcome for London on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly sunny conditions expected to deliver above-average warmth without significant cloud or precipitation. Official forecasts converge on a daytime maximum near 23°C, with some runs showing 22°C depending on exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up, while historical September averages of around 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C outcomes most heavily, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this close to the event. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies later on September 20 could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on September 21?
Highest temperature in London on September 21?
23°C 49%
22°C 37%
24°C 12%
21°C 3%
ใหม่
$13,489 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,489 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
37%
23°C
49%
24°C
12%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 49%
22°C 37%
24°C 12%
21°C 3%
ใหม่
$13,489 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,489 ปริมาณ
Sep 21, 2026
18°C or below
$166 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$885 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$1,499 ปริมาณ
3%
22°C
$3,452 ปริมาณ
37%
23°C
$3,276 ปริมาณ
49%
24°C
$2,295 ปริมาณ
12%
25°C
$709 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$315 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$290 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and complementary model guidance position a 23°C high as the leading outcome for London on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly sunny conditions expected to deliver above-average warmth without significant cloud or precipitation. Official forecasts converge on a daytime maximum near 23°C, with some runs showing 22°C depending on exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up, while historical September averages of around 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C outcomes most heavily, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this close to the event. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies later on September 20 could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,489วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and complementary model guidance position a 23°C high as the leading outcome for London on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly sunny conditions expected to deliver above-average warmth without significant cloud or precipitation. Official forecasts converge on a daytime maximum near 23°C, with some runs showing 22°C depending on exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up, while historical September averages of around 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C outcomes most heavily, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this close to the event. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies later on September 20 could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,489วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and complementary model guidance position a 23°C high as the leading outcome for London on September 21, driven by persistent high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly sunny conditions expected to deliver above-average warmth without significant cloud or precipitation. Official forecasts converge on a daytime maximum near 23°C, with some runs showing 22°C depending on exact timing of any afternoon cloud build-up, while historical September averages of around 20°C provide context for the mild anomaly. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 22°C and 23°C outcomes most heavily, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C this close to the event. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies later on September 20 could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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