Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent light to moderate rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing on September 21, suppressing daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 26–27 °C. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 30 °C amid increasing monsoon influence and shorter daylight. Key differentiating factors among closely matched market outcomes include the precise timing of heaviest precipitation relative to peak solar insolation, minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture, and local topographic effects in the Yangtze River valley that can produce 1–2 °C variations in observed maxima. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 21?
18°C or below 43%
26°C 23%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
18°C or below
43%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
11%
22°C
15%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
23%
27°C
18%
28°C or higher
5%
18°C or below 43%
26°C 23%
25°C 22%
23°C 20%
18°C or below
43%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
11%
22°C
15%
23°C
20%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
23%
27°C
18%
28°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate persistent light to moderate rain and extensive cloud cover over Chongqing on September 21, suppressing daytime heating and supporting a maximum near 26–27 °C. This aligns with late-September climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 30 °C amid increasing monsoon influence and shorter daylight. Key differentiating factors among closely matched market outcomes include the precise timing of heaviest precipitation relative to peak solar insolation, minor model disagreements on boundary-layer moisture, and local topographic effects in the Yangtze River valley that can produce 1–2 °C variations in observed maxima. Updated runs from global and regional ensembles over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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