Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds around 20–40 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 16°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Conditions sit slightly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5–14°C, driven by transient warm advection ahead of an approaching front. Model consensus remains stable in the most recent runs, though small revisions in wind strength or cloud cover could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
15°C 66%
16°C 26%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
66%
16°C
26%
17°C
3%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 66%
16°C 26%
14°C 9%
17°C 3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
10°C or below
$774 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$284 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$21 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$319 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$1,194 ปริมาณ
9%
15°C
$3,526 ปริมาณ
66%
16°C
$956 ปริมาณ
26%
17°C
$215 ปริมาณ
3%
18°C
$95 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$338 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C or higher
$462 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds around 20–40 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 16°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Conditions sit slightly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5–14°C, driven by transient warm advection ahead of an approaching front. Model consensus remains stable in the most recent runs, though small revisions in wind strength or cloud cover could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,186วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds around 20–40 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 16°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Conditions sit slightly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5–14°C, driven by transient warm advection ahead of an approaching front. Model consensus remains stable in the most recent runs, though small revisions in wind strength or cloud cover could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,186วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts from agencies including MetService-aligned models and international ensembles project a daytime maximum of 15°C in Wellington on September 21 under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds around 20–40 km/h and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with the market's leading 63.5% implied probability for 15°C and secondary support for 16°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. Conditions sit slightly above the September climatological average high of roughly 12.5–14°C, driven by transient warm advection ahead of an approaching front. Model consensus remains stable in the most recent runs, though small revisions in wind strength or cloud cover could shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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