**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate a mild spring night on September 20–21 with clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds shifting southerly, supporting radiative cooling that could push the minimum into the mid-single digits Celsius.** Model consensus from sources like MetService analogs and regional guidance points to an overnight low near 9–11 °C, yet trader pricing clusters tightly around 5–7 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud breaks, and local urban heat-island effects at the reporting station. Recent days have seen minima of 6–8 °C amid variable southerly flows, providing a climatological baseline close to the market’s implied range. The narrow spread between the leading outcomes underscores genuine forecast divergence on the precise timing of any clearing and the strength of the gradient wind, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on September 21?
6°C 94%
5°C 93%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
3°C or below
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
93%
6°C
94%
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C or higher
<1%
6°C 94%
5°C 93%
3°C or below <1%
4°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
3°C or below
$6 ปริมาณ
<1%
4°C
$6 ปริมาณ
<1%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
94%
7°C
$52 ปริมาณ
-
8°C
$211 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C or higher
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate a mild spring night on September 20–21 with clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds shifting southerly, supporting radiative cooling that could push the minimum into the mid-single digits Celsius.** Model consensus from sources like MetService analogs and regional guidance points to an overnight low near 9–11 °C, yet trader pricing clusters tightly around 5–7 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud breaks, and local urban heat-island effects at the reporting station. Recent days have seen minima of 6–8 °C amid variable southerly flows, providing a climatological baseline close to the market’s implied range. The narrow spread between the leading outcomes underscores genuine forecast divergence on the precise timing of any clearing and the strength of the gradient wind, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$795วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate a mild spring night on September 20–21 with clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds shifting southerly, supporting radiative cooling that could push the minimum into the mid-single digits Celsius.** Model consensus from sources like MetService analogs and regional guidance points to an overnight low near 9–11 °C, yet trader pricing clusters tightly around 5–7 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud breaks, and local urban heat-island effects at the reporting station. Recent days have seen minima of 6–8 °C amid variable southerly flows, providing a climatological baseline close to the market’s implied range. The narrow spread between the leading outcomes underscores genuine forecast divergence on the precise timing of any clearing and the strength of the gradient wind, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$795วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Wellington indicate a mild spring night on September 20–21 with clear to partly cloudy skies and northerly winds shifting southerly, supporting radiative cooling that could push the minimum into the mid-single digits Celsius.** Model consensus from sources like MetService analogs and regional guidance points to an overnight low near 9–11 °C, yet trader pricing clusters tightly around 5–7 °C, reflecting uncertainty in exact wind speeds, cloud breaks, and local urban heat-island effects at the reporting station. Recent days have seen minima of 6–8 °C amid variable southerly flows, providing a climatological baseline close to the market’s implied range. The narrow spread between the leading outcomes underscores genuine forecast divergence on the precise timing of any clearing and the strength of the gradient wind, with fresh model runs and official briefings expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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