Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 21 most likely near 22–23°C, reflecting moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit heat retention compared to recent days, with surface observations showing dew points around 20–22°C that support gradual temperature drops after sunset. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, as even small shifts in wind speed or humidity can alter the exact low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities clustered. Updated model runs and local station data tonight will refine the final reading before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 21?
22°C 43%
23°C 40%
24°C 14%
26°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
6%
21°C
10%
22°C
43%
23°C
40%
24°C
14%
25°C
8%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 43%
23°C 40%
24°C 14%
26°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 21, 2026
17°C or below
$6 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
21°C
$116 ปริมาณ
10%
22°C
$33 ปริมาณ
43%
23°C
$295 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$14 ปริมาณ
14%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
27°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 21 most likely near 22–23°C, reflecting moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit heat retention compared to recent days, with surface observations showing dew points around 20–22°C that support gradual temperature drops after sunset. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, as even small shifts in wind speed or humidity can alter the exact low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities clustered. Updated model runs and local station data tonight will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$465วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 21 most likely near 22–23°C, reflecting moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit heat retention compared to recent days, with surface observations showing dew points around 20–22°C that support gradual temperature drops after sunset. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, as even small shifts in wind speed or humidity can alter the exact low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities clustered. Updated model runs and local station data tonight will refine the final reading before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$465วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a minimum temperature in Shanghai on September 21 most likely near 22–23°C, reflecting moderate overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. These conditions limit heat retention compared to recent days, with surface observations showing dew points around 20–22°C that support gradual temperature drops after sunset. Minor model disagreements on cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing create the tight spread between leading outcomes, as even small shifts in wind speed or humidity can alter the exact low by 1°C. Historical September averages near 22°C provide context, while the absence of strong frontal systems keeps probabilities clustered. Updated model runs and local station data tonight will refine the final reading before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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