Recent forecast runs indicate persistent thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou on September 23, creating genuine uncertainty in peak daytime heating and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne shows highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% storm chances, while historical September averages sit at approximately 31°C; however, brief clearing between convective cells or stronger insolation could allow temperatures to reach the upper 30s. Traders appear to weigh model spread in steering patterns and moisture profiles, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any rain suppression. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 23?
34°C 24%
33°C 23%
35°C 22%
32°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
18%
32°C
19%
33°C
23%
34°C
24%
35°C
22%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 24%
33°C 23%
35°C 22%
32°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 23, 2026
27°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$5 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
33°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
35°C
$6 ปริมาณ
22%
36°C
$371 ปริมาณ
2%
37°C or higher
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs indicate persistent thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou on September 23, creating genuine uncertainty in peak daytime heating and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne shows highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% storm chances, while historical September averages sit at approximately 31°C; however, brief clearing between convective cells or stronger insolation could allow temperatures to reach the upper 30s. Traders appear to weigh model spread in steering patterns and moisture profiles, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any rain suppression. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$494วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs indicate persistent thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou on September 23, creating genuine uncertainty in peak daytime heating and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne shows highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% storm chances, while historical September averages sit at approximately 31°C; however, brief clearing between convective cells or stronger insolation could allow temperatures to reach the upper 30s. Traders appear to weigh model spread in steering patterns and moisture profiles, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any rain suppression. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$494วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs indicate persistent thunderstorm activity and variable cloud cover over Guangzhou on September 23, creating genuine uncertainty in peak daytime heating and driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 33–35°C. Official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and WindBorne shows highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with 60% storm chances, while historical September averages sit at approximately 31°C; however, brief clearing between convective cells or stronger insolation could allow temperatures to reach the upper 30s. Traders appear to weigh model spread in steering patterns and moisture profiles, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any rain suppression. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย