Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 20?
21°C or higher 95%
11°C or below 92%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
11°C or below
92%
12°C
21%
13°C
24%
14°C
23%
15°C
18%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C or higher
95%
21°C or higher 95%
11°C or below 92%
16°C 39%
17°C 39%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 20, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
92%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
14°C
$24 ปริมาณ
23%
15°C
$15 ปริมาณ
18%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
21°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Warsaw's September 20 minimum temperature reflects model uncertainty over a potential frontal passage and air mass shift, with 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly tied near 49% and 46% implied probability. Ensemble runs from ECMWF and GFS diverge on the strength of northerly advection versus lingering Atlantic influence, directly affecting nocturnal radiational cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds. Historical September lows average near 12°C, but recent warm anomalies and unsettled patterns heighten variability. Key upcoming drivers include refreshed high-resolution model guidance and IMGW observational updates through the weekend, which could clarify whether conditions favor rapid cooling or moderated temperatures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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