**Trader consensus centers on 24–25°C as the likely overnight minimum in Taipei amid transitional autumn conditions.** Weakening northeast monsoon flow has reduced cloud cover and humidity, strengthening nighttime radiative cooling as drier air allows more efficient longwave heat loss from the surface after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and model runs show lows clustering around 23–25°C depending on exact wind speeds, residual moisture, and urban heat island effects, with 24°C and 25°C each implied at 50% reflecting fine distinctions in the final cooling phase. Historical September baselines feature similar diurnal ranges of 6–9°C under comparable patterns, though any late-day cloud increase or wind shift could nudge the minimum higher. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by 20 September.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Taipei on September 20?
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 20%
19°C or below 16%
19°C or below
16%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 20%
19°C or below 16%
19°C or below
16%
20°C
5%
21°C
8%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 24–25°C as the likely overnight minimum in Taipei amid transitional autumn conditions.** Weakening northeast monsoon flow has reduced cloud cover and humidity, strengthening nighttime radiative cooling as drier air allows more efficient longwave heat loss from the surface after daytime highs near 30–31°C. Official Central Weather Administration guidance and model runs show lows clustering around 23–25°C depending on exact wind speeds, residual moisture, and urban heat island effects, with 24°C and 25°C each implied at 50% reflecting fine distinctions in the final cooling phase. Historical September baselines feature similar diurnal ranges of 6–9°C under comparable patterns, though any late-day cloud increase or wind shift could nudge the minimum higher. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour minimum recorded by 20 September.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย