Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C minimum on September 15, 2026, aligns with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold before daytime heating under a northeast monsoon flow. Official forecasts issued the prior day projected a 26–32°C range amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, matching climatological September norms where daily minima average 24–26°C. Real-time station data confirmed no cooler readings overnight, with early morning temperatures holding at or above 26°C before rising steadily. This outcome could shift only if post-event quality control by the Observatory revises the absolute daily minimum through sensor calibration or if localized microclimate effects at the reference station produced an unrecorded dip below the reported value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 15?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$13,483 ปริมาณ
$13,483 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$13,483 ปริมาณ
$13,483 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
21°C or below
$182 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$182 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$1,296 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$614 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,414 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$5,379 ปริมาณ
100%
27°C
$3,101 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$833 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$138 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$172 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$172 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C minimum on September 15, 2026, aligns with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold before daytime heating under a northeast monsoon flow. Official forecasts issued the prior day projected a 26–32°C range amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, matching climatological September norms where daily minima average 24–26°C. Real-time station data confirmed no cooler readings overnight, with early morning temperatures holding at or above 26°C before rising steadily. This outcome could shift only if post-event quality control by the Observatory revises the absolute daily minimum through sensor calibration or if localized microclimate effects at the reference station produced an unrecorded dip below the reported value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,483วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C minimum on September 15, 2026, aligns with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold before daytime heating under a northeast monsoon flow. Official forecasts issued the prior day projected a 26–32°C range amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, matching climatological September norms where daily minima average 24–26°C. Real-time station data confirmed no cooler readings overnight, with early morning temperatures holding at or above 26°C before rising steadily. This outcome could shift only if post-event quality control by the Observatory revises the absolute daily minimum through sensor calibration or if localized microclimate effects at the reference station produced an unrecorded dip below the reported value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,483วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 13, 2026, 1:30 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus at 100% for a 26°C minimum on September 15, 2026, aligns with Hong Kong Observatory observations showing overnight lows stabilizing near that threshold before daytime heating under a northeast monsoon flow. Official forecasts issued the prior day projected a 26–32°C range amid partly cloudy skies and isolated showers, matching climatological September norms where daily minima average 24–26°C. Real-time station data confirmed no cooler readings overnight, with early morning temperatures holding at or above 26°C before rising steadily. This outcome could shift only if post-event quality control by the Observatory revises the absolute daily minimum through sensor calibration or if localized microclimate effects at the reference station produced an unrecorded dip below the reported value.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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