Recent numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high of 22–23°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of near 20°C. Cloud cover and a low risk of afternoon showers are expected to limit stronger warming, keeping the peak below late-summer levels. Market-implied odds, with 21°C or below at 43% and 22–23°C combined near 50%, align closely with this forecast consensus while incorporating residual uncertainty from model spread on exact timing and cloud thickness. Updated runs through September 12 show stable conditions, with traders weighting the likelihood of the high falling in the narrow 21–23°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on September 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 13?
21°C or below 44%
22°C 28%
23°C 15%
24°C 7%
ใหม่
$17,984 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,984 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
44%
22°C
28%
23°C
15%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 44%
22°C 28%
23°C 15%
24°C 7%
ใหม่
$17,984 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,984 ปริมาณ
Sep 13, 2026
21°C or below
$4,638 ปริมาณ
44%
22°C
$1,275 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C
$914 ปริมาณ
15%
24°C
$4,680 ปริมาณ
7%
25°C
$1,032 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$252 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$550 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$917 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,016 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,527 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,183 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high of 22–23°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of near 20°C. Cloud cover and a low risk of afternoon showers are expected to limit stronger warming, keeping the peak below late-summer levels. Market-implied odds, with 21°C or below at 43% and 22–23°C combined near 50%, align closely with this forecast consensus while incorporating residual uncertainty from model spread on exact timing and cloud thickness. Updated runs through September 12 show stable conditions, with traders weighting the likelihood of the high falling in the narrow 21–23°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,984วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high of 22–23°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of near 20°C. Cloud cover and a low risk of afternoon showers are expected to limit stronger warming, keeping the peak below late-summer levels. Market-implied odds, with 21°C or below at 43% and 22–23°C combined near 50%, align closely with this forecast consensus while incorporating residual uncertainty from model spread on exact timing and cloud thickness. Updated runs through September 12 show stable conditions, with traders weighting the likelihood of the high falling in the narrow 21–23°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,984วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models, including GFS guidance, indicate a daytime high of 22–23°C in Munich on September 13 under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, slightly above the mid-September climatological average of near 20°C. Cloud cover and a low risk of afternoon showers are expected to limit stronger warming, keeping the peak below late-summer levels. Market-implied odds, with 21°C or below at 43% and 22–23°C combined near 50%, align closely with this forecast consensus while incorporating residual uncertainty from model spread on exact timing and cloud thickness. Updated runs through September 12 show stable conditions, with traders weighting the likelihood of the high falling in the narrow 21–23°C band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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