**Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF places Warsaw’s September 13 daytime maximum near 20 °C**, with hourly profiles peaking at 19–20 °C during the afternoon under high pressure near 1020–1022 hPa, light southwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover that caps further warming. Morning fog and low stratus gradually lift, allowing modest insolation before overcast conditions return, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C (63 %) over 19 °C or 21 °C. This outcome sits several degrees above the long-term September climatological maximum of roughly 16 °C, reflecting a mild southerly advection episode rather than any extreme anomaly. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before evening cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 13?
20°C 63%
19°C 20%
21°C 15%
18°C 3%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
20%
20°C
63%
21°C
15%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 63%
19°C 20%
21°C 15%
18°C 3%
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
20%
20°C
63%
21°C
15%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Model consensus from sources such as GFS and ECMWF places Warsaw’s September 13 daytime maximum near 20 °C**, with hourly profiles peaking at 19–20 °C during the afternoon under high pressure near 1020–1022 hPa, light southwesterly flow, and increasing cloud cover that caps further warming. Morning fog and low stratus gradually lift, allowing modest insolation before overcast conditions return, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 20 °C (63 %) over 19 °C or 21 °C. This outcome sits several degrees above the long-term September climatological maximum of roughly 16 °C, reflecting a mild southerly advection episode rather than any extreme anomaly. No significant frontal passages or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before evening cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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