Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a San Francisco high near 74–78°F on September 10, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a marine layer that limits inland heat advection despite a broader Bay Area warming episode. The coastal location’s exposure to cooler Pacific air and variable wind patterns create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, with slight model spread on layer depth and timing of any afternoon clearing. Historical September 10 averages near 70–71°F provide context, while the market’s clustered probabilities around 78–83°F reflect traders weighting the potential for modest exceedances if the marine influence weakens earlier than expected. Refined short-range updates from NOAA will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
3%
78-79°F 37%
80-81°F 37%
76-77°F 30%
74-75°F 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
71°F or below
$7 ปริมาณ
5%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
30%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
82-83°F
$180 ปริมาณ
17%
84-85°F
$124 ปริมาณ
10%
86-87°F
$114 ปริมาณ
8%
88-89°F
$138 ปริมาณ
2%
90°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a San Francisco high near 74–78°F on September 10, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a marine layer that limits inland heat advection despite a broader Bay Area warming episode. The coastal location’s exposure to cooler Pacific air and variable wind patterns create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, with slight model spread on layer depth and timing of any afternoon clearing. Historical September 10 averages near 70–71°F provide context, while the market’s clustered probabilities around 78–83°F reflect traders weighting the potential for modest exceedances if the marine influence weakens earlier than expected. Refined short-range updates from NOAA will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$562วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a San Francisco high near 74–78°F on September 10, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a marine layer that limits inland heat advection despite a broader Bay Area warming episode. The coastal location’s exposure to cooler Pacific air and variable wind patterns create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, with slight model spread on layer depth and timing of any afternoon clearing. Historical September 10 averages near 70–71°F provide context, while the market’s clustered probabilities around 78–83°F reflect traders weighting the potential for modest exceedances if the marine influence weakens earlier than expected. Refined short-range updates from NOAA will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$562วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models point to a San Francisco high near 74–78°F on September 10, shaped by persistent onshore flow and a marine layer that limits inland heat advection despite a broader Bay Area warming episode. The coastal location’s exposure to cooler Pacific air and variable wind patterns create narrow uncertainty bands around the daily maximum, with slight model spread on layer depth and timing of any afternoon clearing. Historical September 10 averages near 70–71°F provide context, while the market’s clustered probabilities around 78–83°F reflect traders weighting the potential for modest exceedances if the marine influence weakens earlier than expected. Refined short-range updates from NOAA will likely tighten these ranges ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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