**Cloud cover and afternoon showers from Mexico City's peak rainy season are the dominant factors capping the daily maximum near 24–25 °C on September 10.** At 2,240 m elevation in the Valley of Mexico, strong solar heating is normally moderated by frequent convective activity; official forecasts indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with 60–90 % rain probability, which reduces insolation and keeps afternoon peaks from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent observations show September highs averaging 24–25 °C amid similar patterns, with the latest model consensus aligning closely with these values. Trader-implied odds—52 % for 25 °C and 34.5 % for 24 °C—reflect this evidence-based expectation of a typical late-summer day rather than an outlier driven by clearer skies or unusual subsidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on September 10?
25°C 52%
24°C 35%
26°C 10%
23°C 6%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
35%
25°C
52%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
2%
25°C 52%
24°C 35%
26°C 10%
23°C 6%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
6%
24°C
35%
25°C
52%
26°C
10%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover and afternoon showers from Mexico City's peak rainy season are the dominant factors capping the daily maximum near 24–25 °C on September 10.** At 2,240 m elevation in the Valley of Mexico, strong solar heating is normally moderated by frequent convective activity; official forecasts indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with 60–90 % rain probability, which reduces insolation and keeps afternoon peaks from exceeding the mid-20s. Recent observations show September highs averaging 24–25 °C amid similar patterns, with the latest model consensus aligning closely with these values. Trader-implied odds—52 % for 25 °C and 34.5 % for 24 °C—reflect this evidence-based expectation of a typical late-summer day rather than an outlier driven by clearer skies or unusual subsidence.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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