Strong trader consensus around a 25°C low for Guangzhou on September 12 reflects consensus meteorological model outputs and observational data showing overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate light northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity levels supporting minimal radiative cooling, consistent with the historical average low of 24.5°C for the date. This positioning aligns with real-time data releases through the day. A notable deviation could occur if unforecasted cloud cover or precipitation enhances cooling, or if localized urban effects push readings slightly lower than model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 12?
25°C 99%
20°C 91.4%
24°C 4%
23°C 1.9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
91%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
20°C 91.4%
24°C 4%
23°C 1.9%
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
91%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a 25°C low for Guangzhou on September 12 reflects consensus meteorological model outputs and observational data showing overnight minimum temperatures stabilizing near that threshold under typical late-summer subtropical conditions. Regional forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate light northeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and humidity levels supporting minimal radiative cooling, consistent with the historical average low of 24.5°C for the date. This positioning aligns with real-time data releases through the day. A notable deviation could occur if unforecasted cloud cover or precipitation enhances cooling, or if localized urban effects push readings slightly lower than model consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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