Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. High humidity levels near 80% overnight, combined with moderate westerly winds and partial cloud cover, limit radiative cooling and prevent sharper drops typical of drier inland sites. September climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C as the monsoon withdraws, with above-average temperatures expected this month further supporting the consensus. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on minimal overnight cooling against any late-evening variability from scattered clouds or sea-breeze effects, while the low probability assigned to 21°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of unusual cold advection or clear-sky radiative losses in current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Karachi on September 12?
21°C or below 90%
24°C 10%
23°C 6%
22°C 4%
21°C or below
90%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
47%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 90%
24°C 10%
23°C 6%
22°C 4%
21°C or below
90%
22°C
4%
23°C
6%
24°C
10%
25°C
47%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on September 12 will likely settle near 25–26°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. High humidity levels near 80% overnight, combined with moderate westerly winds and partial cloud cover, limit radiative cooling and prevent sharper drops typical of drier inland sites. September climatology shows average lows around 25–26°C as the monsoon withdraws, with above-average temperatures expected this month further supporting the consensus. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on minimal overnight cooling against any late-evening variability from scattered clouds or sea-breeze effects, while the low probability assigned to 21°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of unusual cold advection or clear-sky radiative losses in current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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