Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and local observations indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Arabian Sea that limits nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light westerly winds. Post-monsoon conditions produce a narrow diurnal range, with overnight lows rarely dropping below the seasonal 25°C baseline absent strong radiative cooling or rain-cooled air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 26°C and 41.5% for 25°C aligns with this stability, while lower buckets such as 21°C or below remain less favored given the absence of cold-air advection. Updated model runs through midday will clarify any late adjustments from cloud cover or wind shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Karachi on September 13?
21°C or below 75%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
75%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 75%
22°C 10%
23°C 10%
24°C 10%
21°C or below
75%
22°C
10%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
-
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA-aligned models and local observations indicate Karachi's minimum temperature on September 13 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent onshore flow from the Arabian Sea that limits nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light westerly winds. Post-monsoon conditions produce a narrow diurnal range, with overnight lows rarely dropping below the seasonal 25°C baseline absent strong radiative cooling or rain-cooled air masses. Trader consensus reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 26°C and 41.5% for 25°C aligns with this stability, while lower buckets such as 21°C or below remain less favored given the absence of cold-air advection. Updated model runs through midday will clarify any late adjustments from cloud cover or wind shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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