Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS models indicate overnight lows in the lower to mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 10 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with downtown highs recently exceeding 100°F. This has suppressed typical radiative cooling and elevated minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 September average low near 64°F, pushing the 76–77°F bin to a 69% market-implied probability. Marine layer development and patchy fog could introduce modest cooling toward 70–74°F in coastal zones, while persistent clear skies and urban heat retention support the secondary 82°F+ outcome at 36.5%. Official observations at LAX and downtown stations will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on September 10?
82°F or higher 98%
76-77°F 69%
64-65°F 40%
66-67°F 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
63°F or below
3%
64-65°F
40%
66-67°F
40%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
19%
72-73°F
20%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
69%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
40%
82°F or higher
98%
82°F or higher 98%
76-77°F 69%
64-65°F 40%
66-67°F 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
63°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
64-65°F
$5 ปริมาณ
40%
66-67°F
$5 ปริมาณ
40%
68-69°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
70-71°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
72-73°F
$13 ปริมาณ
20%
74-75°F
$59 ปริมาณ
24%
76-77°F
$332 ปริมาณ
69%
78-79°F
$15 ปริมาณ
20%
80-81°F
$35 ปริมาณ
40%
82°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS models indicate overnight lows in the lower to mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 10 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with downtown highs recently exceeding 100°F. This has suppressed typical radiative cooling and elevated minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 September average low near 64°F, pushing the 76–77°F bin to a 69% market-implied probability. Marine layer development and patchy fog could introduce modest cooling toward 70–74°F in coastal zones, while persistent clear skies and urban heat retention support the secondary 82°F+ outcome at 36.5%. Official observations at LAX and downtown stations will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$474วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS models indicate overnight lows in the lower to mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 10 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with downtown highs recently exceeding 100°F. This has suppressed typical radiative cooling and elevated minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 September average low near 64°F, pushing the 76–77°F bin to a 69% market-implied probability. Marine layer development and patchy fog could introduce modest cooling toward 70–74°F in coastal zones, while persistent clear skies and urban heat retention support the secondary 82°F+ outcome at 36.5%. Official observations at LAX and downtown stations will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$474วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 7:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and NWS models indicate overnight lows in the lower to mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 10 amid an ongoing extreme heat wave, with downtown highs recently exceeding 100°F. This has suppressed typical radiative cooling and elevated minimum temperatures well above the 1991–2020 September average low near 64°F, pushing the 76–77°F bin to a 69% market-implied probability. Marine layer development and patchy fog could introduce modest cooling toward 70–74°F in coastal zones, while persistent clear skies and urban heat retention support the secondary 82°F+ outcome at 36.5%. Official observations at LAX and downtown stations will resolve the market once the calendar day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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