**Forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, consistent with the market's strong 84.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly winds have supported typical late-summer diurnal cooling after daytime highs of 33–35°C, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting further drops. Historical averages for the date show a 24.7°C low, while recent years cluster around 24–25°C; current conditions lack the stronger cooling mechanisms (such as a passing front or increased cloud cover) that would favor 25°C or lower. Multiple forecasts, including those projecting overnight lows of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies, align with trader consensus on the 26°C threshold as the most probable resolution based on official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
26°C 99%
25°C 4%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
19%
26°C
85%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99%
25°C 4%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
20°C or below
$58 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$85 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$85 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$148 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$113 ปริมาณ
19%
26°C
$496 ปริมาณ
85%
27°C
$270 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$161 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$45 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$62 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, consistent with the market's strong 84.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly winds have supported typical late-summer diurnal cooling after daytime highs of 33–35°C, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting further drops. Historical averages for the date show a 24.7°C low, while recent years cluster around 24–25°C; current conditions lack the stronger cooling mechanisms (such as a passing front or increased cloud cover) that would favor 25°C or lower. Multiple forecasts, including those projecting overnight lows of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies, align with trader consensus on the 26°C threshold as the most probable resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,602วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, consistent with the market's strong 84.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly winds have supported typical late-summer diurnal cooling after daytime highs of 33–35°C, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting further drops. Historical averages for the date show a 24.7°C low, while recent years cluster around 24–25°C; current conditions lack the stronger cooling mechanisms (such as a passing front or increased cloud cover) that would favor 25°C or lower. Multiple forecasts, including those projecting overnight lows of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies, align with trader consensus on the 26°C threshold as the most probable resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,602วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data indicate a minimum temperature near 26°C in Guangzhou on September 8, 2026, consistent with the market's strong 84.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical high pressure and light northeasterly winds have supported typical late-summer diurnal cooling after daytime highs of 33–35°C, with dew points near 24–25°C limiting further drops. Historical averages for the date show a 24.7°C low, while recent years cluster around 24–25°C; current conditions lack the stronger cooling mechanisms (such as a passing front or increased cloud cover) that would favor 25°C or lower. Multiple forecasts, including those projecting overnight lows of 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies, align with trader consensus on the 26°C threshold as the most probable resolution based on official station measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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