NWS forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low near 76–77°F on September 9–10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 74–77°F. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-70s limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while southerly winds advect additional warmth and suppress stronger temperature drops. Recent days with highs near 100°F have maintained elevated boundary-layer temperatures, reducing the likelihood of falling to the historical September average low near 70°F. Model consensus shows limited spread in minimum temperature guidance, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable warm conditions against the small but non-zero chance of enhanced cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 10?
69°F or below 56%
88°F or higher 56%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
69°F or below
56%
70-71°F
21%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
21%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
3%
88°F or higher
56%
69°F or below 56%
88°F or higher 56%
74-75°F 27%
72-73°F 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
69°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
56%
70-71°F
$30 ปริมาณ
21%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
82-83°F
$20 ปริมาณ
9%
84-85°F
$5 ปริมาณ
9%
86-87°F
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
88°F or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
56%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low near 76–77°F on September 9–10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 74–77°F. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-70s limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while southerly winds advect additional warmth and suppress stronger temperature drops. Recent days with highs near 100°F have maintained elevated boundary-layer temperatures, reducing the likelihood of falling to the historical September average low near 70°F. Model consensus shows limited spread in minimum temperature guidance, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable warm conditions against the small but non-zero chance of enhanced cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.NWS forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low near 76–77°F on September 9–10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 74–77°F. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-70s limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while southerly winds advect additional warmth and suppress stronger temperature drops. Recent days with highs near 100°F have maintained elevated boundary-layer temperatures, reducing the likelihood of falling to the historical September average low near 70°F. Model consensus shows limited spread in minimum temperature guidance, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable warm conditions against the small but non-zero chance of enhanced cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...NWS forecasts for Austin indicate an overnight low near 76–77°F on September 9–10 under mostly clear skies and light southerly flow, aligning with the market’s tight clustering of implied probabilities around 74–77°F. Persistent warm, humid air with dew points in the mid-70s limits nocturnal radiative cooling, while southerly winds advect additional warmth and suppress stronger temperature drops. Recent days with highs near 100°F have maintained elevated boundary-layer temperatures, reducing the likelihood of falling to the historical September average low near 70°F. Model consensus shows limited spread in minimum temperature guidance, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the exact low by 1–2°F. Traders appear to weigh these stable warm conditions against the small but non-zero chance of enhanced cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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