The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 ปริมาณ
$19,767 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,767 ปริมาณ
$19,767 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
21°C or below
$95 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,102 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$647 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$332 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,158 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,106 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$8,521 ปริมาณ
Yes
28°C
$2,027 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,278 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$260 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$241 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,767วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,767วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The market's near-certain pricing on 27°C as the lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9 reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum reading of that value, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region where nighttime lows commonly range 25–28°C under stable subtropical high pressure. Recent model consensus from global and regional forecasts showed no significant cooling influences such as a monsoon surge or upper-level trough, aligning with surface observations and preventing any downward revision. While post-event data audits or station-specific anomalies could theoretically alter the final figure, such adjustments are rare once preliminary reports are issued, leaving the current trader consensus firmly anchored to verified measurements.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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