**A polar air mass following a strong cold front has sharply cooled São Paulo ahead of September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daytime high near 12–15 °C under persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow.** Recent model guidance and agency outlooks (Climatempo, INMET, GFS/ECMWF ensembles) show the capital under overcast skies with possible light drizzle or garoa, limiting solar heating while the cold air mass keeps surface temperatures suppressed well below the September climatological average of ~23–25 °C. Winds from the southeast advect cooler maritime air, and the small diurnal range (often only 2–4 °C) reflects the stable, moist boundary layer. Trader consensus clusters on 13–14 °C because these values align with the majority of short-range runs, while the modest probability on 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty over any temporary cloud breaks or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Lower outcomes (12 °C or below) remain possible if precipitation or stronger onshore flow persists through the afternoon. The market therefore prices the narrow scientific range set by the polar outbreak and its associated synoptic controls rather than typical spring warmth.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 7?
14°C 37%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 11%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
27%
14°C
37%
15°C
18%
16°C or higher
10%
14°C 37%
13°C 27%
15°C 18%
12°C 11%
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
3%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
27%
14°C
37%
15°C
18%
16°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**A polar air mass following a strong cold front has sharply cooled São Paulo ahead of September 7, with official forecasts pointing to a daytime high near 12–15 °C under persistent cloud cover and southeasterly flow.** Recent model guidance and agency outlooks (Climatempo, INMET, GFS/ECMWF ensembles) show the capital under overcast skies with possible light drizzle or garoa, limiting solar heating while the cold air mass keeps surface temperatures suppressed well below the September climatological average of ~23–25 °C. Winds from the southeast advect cooler maritime air, and the small diurnal range (often only 2–4 °C) reflects the stable, moist boundary layer. Trader consensus clusters on 13–14 °C because these values align with the majority of short-range runs, while the modest probability on 15 °C or higher reflects residual uncertainty over any temporary cloud breaks or slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing. Lower outcomes (12 °C or below) remain possible if precipitation or stronger onshore flow persists through the afternoon. The market therefore prices the narrow scientific range set by the polar outbreak and its associated synoptic controls rather than typical spring warmth.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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