Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 5 projects a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies, with light southeast winds near 5 mph and dew points around 75°F sustaining elevated humidity. This places the most likely outcome in the 96–97°F bin, favored at 36.5% market-implied odds, while the tight 33% spread on 94–95°F reflects uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating and slight variations in steering flow. The warm, moist air mass supports heat indices above 105°F even if air temperatures stay in the mid-90s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 93.6°F but recent years have trended warmer. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts between these leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on September 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 5?
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 33%
98-99°F 17%
92-93°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
33%
96-97°F
42%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
5%
102-103°F
2%
104°F or higher
1%
96-97°F 42%
94-95°F 33%
98-99°F 17%
92-93°F 5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
85°F or below
$80 ปริมาณ
1%
86-87°F
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
90-91°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$123 ปริมาณ
5%
94-95°F
$166 ปริมาณ
33%
96-97°F
$474 ปริมาณ
42%
98-99°F
$170 ปริมาณ
17%
100-101°F
$102 ปริมาณ
5%
102-103°F
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
104°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 5 projects a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies, with light southeast winds near 5 mph and dew points around 75°F sustaining elevated humidity. This places the most likely outcome in the 96–97°F bin, favored at 36.5% market-implied odds, while the tight 33% spread on 94–95°F reflects uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating and slight variations in steering flow. The warm, moist air mass supports heat indices above 105°F even if air temperatures stay in the mid-90s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 93.6°F but recent years have trended warmer. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts between these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,125วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 5 projects a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies, with light southeast winds near 5 mph and dew points around 75°F sustaining elevated humidity. This places the most likely outcome in the 96–97°F bin, favored at 36.5% market-implied odds, while the tight 33% spread on 94–95°F reflects uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating and slight variations in steering flow. The warm, moist air mass supports heat indices above 105°F even if air temperatures stay in the mid-90s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 93.6°F but recent years have trended warmer. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts between these leading bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,125วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Austin on September 5 projects a high near 96–98°F under partly cloudy skies, with light southeast winds near 5 mph and dew points around 75°F sustaining elevated humidity. This places the most likely outcome in the 96–97°F bin, favored at 36.5% market-implied odds, while the tight 33% spread on 94–95°F reflects uncertainty over afternoon cloud cover that could limit peak solar heating and slight variations in steering flow. The warm, moist air mass supports heat indices above 105°F even if air temperatures stay in the mid-90s, consistent with late-summer climatology where September averages 93.6°F but recent years have trended warmer. Updated model runs and official NWS briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts between these leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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