Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature near 29–30 °C in Istanbul on September 6 under stable high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong diurnal heating. Slight differences among outcomes stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of maximum insolation, with ensemble spreads typically ±1–2 °C at this lead time. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine resolution, and the next model update cycle plus any last-minute satellite adjustments could shift implied probabilities before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
35%
30°C
24%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 35%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$50 ปริมาณ
3%
26°C
$117 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$50 ปริมาณ
7%
28°C
$420 ปริมาณ
23%
29°C
$186 ปริมาณ
35%
30°C
$248 ปริมาณ
24%
31°C
$382 ปริมาณ
5%
32°C
$42 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$151 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$83 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C or higher
$83 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature near 29–30 °C in Istanbul on September 6 under stable high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong diurnal heating. Slight differences among outcomes stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of maximum insolation, with ensemble spreads typically ±1–2 °C at this lead time. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine resolution, and the next model update cycle plus any last-minute satellite adjustments could shift implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,811วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature near 29–30 °C in Istanbul on September 6 under stable high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong diurnal heating. Slight differences among outcomes stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of maximum insolation, with ensemble spreads typically ±1–2 °C at this lead time. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine resolution, and the next model update cycle plus any last-minute satellite adjustments could shift implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,811วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate a peak daytime temperature near 29–30 °C in Istanbul on September 6 under stable high pressure, light northerly flow, and mostly clear skies that favor strong diurnal heating. Slight differences among outcomes stem from small variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification, and exact timing of maximum insolation, with ensemble spreads typically ±1–2 °C at this lead time. Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service will determine resolution, and the next model update cycle plus any last-minute satellite adjustments could shift implied probabilities before the market closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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