Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely reach 11–12 °C during early morning hours under clearing skies and light westerly winds near 2 m/s. High pressure building across central Europe promotes radiational cooling, while dew points near 9–10 °C and modest cloud cover limit further drops. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some members showing 10 °C or 13 °C depending on exact timing of clearing. Official resolution will rely on hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, where traders weigh these factors against the current market-implied probabilities clustered around the 10–12 °C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 7?
15°C or higher 79%
5°C or below 41%
9°C 36%
10°C 33%
5°C or below
41%
6°C
7%
7°C
7%
8°C
16%
9°C
36%
10°C
33%
11°C
31%
12°C
28%
13°C
15%
14°C
6%
15°C or higher
79%
15°C or higher 79%
5°C or below 41%
9°C 36%
10°C 33%
5°C or below
41%
6°C
7%
7°C
7%
8°C
16%
9°C
36%
10°C
33%
11°C
31%
12°C
28%
13°C
15%
14°C
6%
15°C or higher
79%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models such as ECMWF and GFS indicate Warsaw's minimum temperature on September 7 will likely reach 11–12 °C during early morning hours under clearing skies and light westerly winds near 2 m/s. High pressure building across central Europe promotes radiational cooling, while dew points near 9–10 °C and modest cloud cover limit further drops. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some members showing 10 °C or 13 °C depending on exact timing of clearing. Official resolution will rely on hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport, where traders weigh these factors against the current market-implied probabilities clustered around the 10–12 °C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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